Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	05:40	ESPN 2
Australia	19:40	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	05:40	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	11:40	Max Sport 1
Colombia	03:40	ESPN
Czech Republic	10:40	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	10:40	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	11:40	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	10:40	Sky Sport Tennis
Mexico	02:40	ESPN 2
Netherlands	10:40	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Peru	03:40	ESPN 2
Sweden	10:40	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	11:40	Setanta Sports+
United Kingdom	09:40	Sky Sports Tennis


	Alexander Zverev		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.26	3.90
	1.25	4.00	Watch
	1.25	4.1	Watch
	1.25	4.15
	1.25	4.16	Watch
	1.24	4.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.23)	4.12 ↑ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
76.8%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
23.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.7%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	0%	6.2%

Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 1 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Set Betting - Alexander Zverev to win 2 - 0 (1.85) (votes: 82%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Alexander Zverev will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 2., and Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 26..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zverev won 4.

Zverev is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Davidovich Fokina have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Zverev may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Zverev carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Zverev has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:4 (averaging 2:0.6 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Alexander Zverev - the odds 1.23 are the expected chance of winning is 76.66%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Shanghai
15.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Alexander Bublik	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Quentin Halys	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Yibing Wu	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
04.10.26	Alexander Zverev - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Shanghai
15.10.26	Arthur Gea - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Gea A. Retired ✺
13.10.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
09.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ?WWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
30.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1
ATP Beijing
30.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
08.06.21	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:0
ATP Cologne
17.10.20	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0
ATP US Open
06.09.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexander Zverev	0:3

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