Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Alexander Zverev		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	1.33	3.4	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.32	3.3	Watch
	1.34	3.58
	1.37	3.07	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.33	3.39	Watch
	1.36	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.44)	3.24 ↑ (2.74)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Zverev
70.5%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Zverev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	0%	20.8%

Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Sets - Zverev (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 Games - Zverev (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Davidovich Fokina (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alexander Zverev will win (19 of 24 users predict this - 79.17%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.92% – 95.42%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Zverev will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Zverev (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Davidovich Fokina (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zverev is ranked ATP: 2. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 29.

Zverev in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Davidovich Fokina is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Davidovich Fokina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Zverev is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Zverev to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zverev won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:3 (average 2:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Zverev
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
20.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Tallon Griekspoor	2:1 ✺
16.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Nuno Borges - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
18.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Andrey Rublev	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
30.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
08.06.21	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:0
ATP Cologne
17.10.20	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0
ATP US Open
06.09.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexander Zverev	0:3

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