Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana (Dominican Republic), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Jakub Mensik		Christian Garin

	1	2
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.1	Watch
	1.3	3.15	Watch
	1.28	3.81
	1.26	3.73	Watch
	1.29	3.5	Watch
	1.29	3.39	Watch
	1.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.37)	3.42 ↑ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
72.6%

Christian Garin
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Mensik's performance.

Christian Garin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Christian Garin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Jakub Mensik - Christian Garin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 57. Garin is ranked ATP: 138.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Garin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mensik is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Karen Khachanov - Jakub Mensik	2:1 ✺
06.03.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
24.02.25	Jakub Mensik - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
06.02.25	Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLLW
- Christian Garin
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.25	Christian Garin - Kamil Majchrzak	0:2 ✺
03.03.25	Daniel Altmaier - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Santiago
26.02.25	Christian Garin - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Christian Garin - Juan Pablo Ficovich	2:1 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
15.02.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWL

Upcoming Matches