Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 3
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Damir Dzumhur		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.28	Watch
	3.6	1.27	Watch
	3.88	1.29
	3.84	1.25	Watch
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.57	1.3	Watch
	3.6	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.03)	1.28 ↓ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
25.8%

Francis Tiafoe
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Damir Dzumhur's form might have worsened.

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francis Tiafoe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Damir Dzumhur - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Dzumhur will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 84. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 17.

Two players are playing changeable.

Tiafoe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tiafoe is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dzumhur won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
04.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Radu Albot	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Damir Dzumhur - Brandon Holt	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
28.02.25	Damir Dzumhur - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Mariano Navone - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWLW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Acapulco
26.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yoshihito Nishioka	1:2 ✺
03.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Fabian Marozsan - Francis Tiafoe	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL

Upcoming Matches