Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Damir Dzumhur		Matteo Arnaldi

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.60	1.48
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.5
	2.69	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.48
	2.69	1.47	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.64)	1.46 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
35%

Matteo Arnaldi
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Damir Dzumhur - Matteo Arnaldi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Arnaldi will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Dzumhur (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 Games - Arnaldi (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dzumhur (votes: 1 - 50%). Arnaldi (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 108. Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 34.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Dzumhur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Arnaldi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dzumhur won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Damir Dzumhur - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.33%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Umag
15.07.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Zsombor Piros - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Stefan Horia Haita - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Damir Dzumhur - Arthur Fery	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Umag
15.07.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Quentin Halys	1:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
23.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Giles Hussey	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Toby Samuel	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Alastair Gray	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
28.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2

Upcoming Matches