Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - Final

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	Digi Sport 4
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.40	2.95
	1.44	2.80	Watch
	1.47	3.00
	1.46	2.81	Watch
	1.44	2.90	Watch
	1.43	2.83	Watch
	1.40	2.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.41)	2.86 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
66.6%

Damir Dzumhur
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 50%). Dzumhur (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 82. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 108.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Merida Aguilar is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.81%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Umag
17.07.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
16.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Titouan Droguet	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Ziga Sesko - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Daniil Medvedev	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWL
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Umag
17.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Damir Dzumhur	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Damir Dzumhur - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Zsombor Piros - Damir Dzumhur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWL

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Damir Dzumhur: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide