Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Sebastian Baez		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.26	3.7	Watch
	1.27	3.8
	1.28	3.95
	1.26	3.79	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.28	3.72	Watch
	1.27	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↑ (1.25)	3.78 ↓ (4.04)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Baez
74.8%

Damir Dzumhur
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.4%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Baez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Sebastian Baez - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dzumhur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Baez is ranked ATP: 33. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 63.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Dzumhur could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Baez is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Baez won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Baez
ATP Barcelona
16.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Tomas Machac - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
ATP Bucharest
06.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
05.04.25	Flavio Cobolli - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Damir Dzumhur	2:0
ATP Santiago
28.02.25	Damir Dzumhur - Sebastian Baez	0:2
ATP Challenger
12.05.21	Damir Dzumhur - Sebastian Baez	1:2

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