Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Otto Virtanen		Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.67	2.32
	1.59	2.22	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.56)	2.21 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Otto Virtanen
57.9%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Otto Virtanen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Otto Virtanen than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Otto Virtanen - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Virtanen will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Virtanen (votes: 1 - 50%). Budkov Kjaer (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Virtanen is ranked ATP: 128. Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 150.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Virtanen might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Otto Virtanen - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Otto Virtanen
ATP Challenger
06.03.26	Ugo Blanchet - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Tom Paris - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Otto Virtanen - Tallon Griekspoor	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Otto Virtanen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
06.03.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Kei Nishikori	2:1 ✺
02.03.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Petr Nesterov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Otto Virtanen - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide