Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nine
Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Eurosport 1
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Spain	Eurosport 1
Turkey	Eurosport 1


	Stefano Travaglia		Dane Sweeny

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.46	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.66	1.49	Watch
	2.71	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.46)	1.46 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefano Travaglia
35.7%

Dane Sweeny
64.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefano Travaglia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Dane Sweeny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano Travaglia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dane Sweeny than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	0%	88.9%

Stefano Travaglia - Dane Sweeny Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sweeny (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Dane Sweeny will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Travaglia is ranked ATP: 189. Sweeny is ranked ATP: 182.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Travaglia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Sweeny might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Sweeny will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefano Travaglia
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Martin Landaluce - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
12.01.26	Blake Ellis - Stefano Travaglia	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
21.11.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Stefano Travaglia	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW
- Dane Sweeny
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Jerome Kym - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
ATP Brisbane
05.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Dane Sweeny	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Dane Sweeny - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
02.01.26	Jacob Fearnley - Dane Sweeny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WWLWW

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