Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday


	Daniel Altmaier		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.66	2.24	Watch
	1.72	2.22
	1.69	2.15	Watch
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.68	2.2	Watch
	1.66	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.73)	2.21 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
57%

Nicolas Jarry
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Altmaier than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Daniel Altmaier - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Altmaier will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Jarry will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Altmaier: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 3 - 60%). Jarry (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Jarry (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 3 - 50%). Jarry (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Altmaier is ranked ATP: 67. Jarry is ranked ATP: 57.

Recent matches Altmaier is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jarry is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Jarry could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Altmaier won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Altmaier - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 54.83%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Madrid
22.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Daniel Altmaier - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Daniel Altmaier	Canceled
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLW?
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.25	Nicolas Jarry - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Nicolas Jarry - Flavio Cobolli	Canceled ✺
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LLL?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
22.08.21	Nicolas Jarry - Daniel Altmaier	1:2

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