Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday


	Luciano Darderi		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	3.00	1.40	Watch
	2.90	1.40
	2.95	1.40
	2.93	1.41	Watch
	3.20	1.35
	2.96	1.42	Watch
	3.05	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.87)	1.39 ↑ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
31.7%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
68.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

68.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Luciano Darderi - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 21., and Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 43..

Darderi has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Tsitsipas is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Darderi could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Tsitsipas carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Tsitsipas in today's match, at odds of 1.4.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Darderi has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Tokyo
02.10.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
07.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Luciano Darderi	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Dane Sweeny	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Dalibor Svrcina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWW
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Shanghai
08.10.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Valentin Vacherot - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
30.09.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Rinky Hijikata	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Hurlingham Men
27.06.26	Luciano Darderi - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2
ATP Halle
16.06.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Luciano Darderi	2:1

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