Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bucharest, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Nicolas Jarry		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.8	Watch
	2.04	1.75	Watch
	1.98	1.81	Watch
	2	1.8	Watch
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2.04	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.58)	1.77 ↓ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolas Jarry
46.7%

Christopher OConnell
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolas Jarry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nicolas Jarry's form might have worsened.

Christopher OConnell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christopher OConnell's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christopher OConnell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Nicolas Jarry - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Jarry will win (votes: 9 - 36%). OConnell will win (votes: 16 - 64%).
Confidence interval (95%) for OConnell: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. OConnell (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jarry is ranked ATP: 58. OConnell is ranked ATP: 87.

Recent matches Jarry is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

OConnell is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

OConnell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Jarry won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Nicolas Jarry - Flavio Cobolli	Canceled ✺
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
17.02.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nicolas Jarry	1:2 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.25	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 ?LLWL
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Bucharest
01.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
19.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Roberto Carballes Baena	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Marco Trungelliti	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
17.03.25	Christopher OConnell - Lloyd Harris	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
27.08.24	Christopher OConnell - Nicolas Jarry	3:1

Nicolas Jarry - Christopher OConnell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide