Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 April 2025, Tuesday


	Ugo Humbert		Nicolas Jarry

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.75	2.05	Watch
	1.77	2.03	Watch
	1.86	1.92	Watch
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.79	2.02	Watch
	1.77	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.42)	2.02 ↓ (2.88)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
53.2%

Nicolas Jarry
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ugo Humbert's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Jarry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Jarry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugo Humbert than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ugo Humbert, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Jarry than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Jarry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	0%	21.4%

Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Humbert (votes: 7 - 70%). Jarry (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 Games - Humbert (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Humbert (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ugo Humbert will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Humbert (votes: 9 - 75%). Jarry (votes: 3 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 20. Jarry is ranked ATP: 58.

The competitors look crappy now.

Humbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Humbert will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Humbert won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Kei Nishikori - Ugo Humbert	0:2 ✺
ATP Dubai
26.02.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Ugo Humbert	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Nicolas Jarry
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Nicolas Jarry - Grigor Dimitrov	0:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.25	Nicolas Jarry - Christopher OConnell	1:2 ✺
ATP Miami
20.03.25	Nicolas Jarry - Flavio Cobolli	Canceled ✺
ATP Santiago
25.02.25	Nicolas Jarry - Camilo Ugo Carabelli	1:2 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.25	Francisco Comesana - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.8 LL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
26.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Ugo Humbert	0:2
ATP Toronto
08.08.23	Ugo Humbert - Nicolas Jarry	2:1

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