Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Elahi Galan		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.27	1.56
	2.25	1.66
	2.19	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.43	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.38)	1.59 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Elahi Galan
41%

Marco Trungelliti
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Elahi Galan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Elahi Galan than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Daniel Elahi Galan - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Galan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Galan is ranked ATP: 130. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 144.

Recent form of Galan has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Trungelliti is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Galan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Trungelliti might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Trungelliti will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Galan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Marco Trungelliti - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 60.87%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Elahi Galan
ATP Challenger
17.09.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
11.09.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Daniel Elahi Galan	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Daniel Elahi Galan - Raphael Collignon	0:3 ✺
22.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Mili Poljicak	Poljicak M. retired ✺
13.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
10.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Marco Trungelliti - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 ?WWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.08.22	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0

Daniel Elahi Galan - Marco Trungelliti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide