Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cancun 2, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.97	Watch
	1.91	1.95
	2.85	1.39	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.41)	1.83 ↓ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
47%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stanislas Wawrinka's form might have worsened.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+21.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stanislas Wawrinka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-21.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel Cerundolo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Cerundolo will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerundolo: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wawrinka (votes: 3 - 50%). Cerundolo (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 152. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 86.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Cerundolo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wawrinka could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Rio Noguchi - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Cleeve Harper	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
23.07.25	Damir Dzumhur - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
15.07.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Stanislas Wawrinka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLWL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
14.08.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
20.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Casper Ruud - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLLWW

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