Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Juan Manuel Cerundolo		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	1.4	2.75
	1.45	2.6
	1.41	2.82
	1.39	3.07
	1.44	2.74	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.48	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.14)	2.75 ↓ (5.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
65.8%

Yuta Shimizu
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.8%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juan Manuel Cerundolo's form might have worsened.

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yuta Shimizu's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cerundolo will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Shimizu will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yuta Shimizu will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 85. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 209.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Shimizu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Cerundolo is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	0:2 ✺
ATP Gstaad
20.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLL
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Yuta Shimizu - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.07.25	Andres Martin - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Nicolas Mejia - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Yuta Shimizu - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
17.07.25	Yosuke Watanuki - Yuta Shimizu	Shimizu Y. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWL?

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