Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Royan, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Kilian Feldbausch

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	2.13	1.74
			Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	2.09	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.09)	1.81 ↑ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
48.3%

Kilian Feldbausch
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Kilian Feldbausch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilian Feldbausch than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Kilian Feldbausch Predictions

Users Predictions: Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Daniel Merida Aguilar will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 250. Feldbausch is ranked ATP: 469.

Merida Aguilar is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Feldbausch has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Feldbausch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.27%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Florent Bax	2:0 ✺
17.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Marco Trungelliti	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Gauthier Onclin - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
13.06.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWLWW
- Kilian Feldbausch
ATP Challenger
18.06.25	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
17.06.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
09.06.25	Lucas Poullain - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Kilian Feldbausch - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Ivan Gakhov - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Kilian Feldbausch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide