Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sabadell, clay - Final

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Daniel Merida Aguilar		Oliver Crawford

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
	1.65	2.19
	1.74	2.05	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.67	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.83)	2.1 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Merida Aguilar
55.6%

Oliver Crawford
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Merida Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Merida Aguilar's performance.

Oliver Crawford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oliver Crawford might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliver Crawford than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Oliver Crawford Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Merida Aguilar (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Merida Aguilar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 329. Crawford is ranked ATP: 295.

Now, both players are in good form.

Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Merida Aguilar - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Oliver Crawford - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Merida Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
03.05.25	Michiel De Krom - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Darwin Blanch	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Matas Vasiliauskas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWWL
- Oliver Crawford
ITF Tournaments
03.05.25	Max Alcala Gurri - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Marvin Moeller - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Kuzey Cekirge - Oliver Crawford	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Georgii Kravchenko - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Oliver Crawford - Liam Draxl	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL

Daniel Merida Aguilar - Oliver Crawford: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide