Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - 1/16-finalsDate: 7 August 2026, Friday
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Daniel Merida Aguilar |
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Alex Michelsen |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 21.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Daniel Merida Aguilar
28.6% | Alex Michelsen
71.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Merida Aguilar's form might have worsened.Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alex Michelsen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Daniel Merida Aguilar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Michelsen will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 63. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 42.Right now, both players are showing solid form.Merida Aguilar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Michelsen is seen as the favorite. We predict that Michelsen will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Merida Aguilar won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
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Last Results with these Odds
Alex Michelsen - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 65.14%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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