Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Daniel Rincon		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	1.91	1.80
	2.05	1.72
	1.95	1.81
	2.12	1.83
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	2.12	1.71
	1.98	1.83	Watch
	2.00	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.3)	1.79 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
47%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Rincon's performance.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Daniel Rincon - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barrios Vera will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 208. Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 144.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Rincon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Barrios Vera might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.74%, but this team recently wins 92% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Daniel Rincon - Jordan Lee	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Titouan Droguet - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.08.26	Zsombor Piros - Daniel Rincon	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Juan Carlos Prado Angelo	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Thiago Seyboth Wild	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLL
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP US Open
26.08.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
24.08.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.08.26	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
01.08.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Dylan Dietrich - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLL

Daniel Rincon - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide