Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Vallejo		Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3	Watch
	1.37	3.17
	1.38	2.84	Watch
			Watch
	1.38	3.04	Watch
	1.53	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)	2.94 ↑ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
68%

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Vallejo's performance.

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Vallejo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniel Vallejo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vallejo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Vallejo (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Vallejo (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 268. Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 447.

Vallejo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ambrogi is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ambrogi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vallejo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vallejo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
04.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Aristotelis Thanos - Daniel Vallejo	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Andrea Collarini - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Daniel Vallejo - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWL
- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Benjamin Torrealba	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Brandon Perez	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
29.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Juan Manuel La Serna	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Milledge Cossu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.02.25	Daniel Vallejo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:0
ATP Challenger
02.02.25	Daniel Vallejo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	2:1
27.09.24	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Daniel Vallejo	1:2

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