Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Daniel Vallejo		Christian Garin

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
			Watch
	2.37	1.52	Watch
	2.67	1.51
	2.29	1.57	Watch
	2.34	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.1)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Vallejo
38.9%

Christian Garin
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Vallejo's form might have worsened.

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Vallejo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Daniel Vallejo - Christian Garin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Christian Garin will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Vallejo is ranked ATP: 169. Garin is ranked ATP: 105.

In recent matches, Vallejo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Garin is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Garin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vallejo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Vallejo
ATP Challenger
13.11.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Guido Ivan Justo - Daniel Vallejo	1:2 ✺
03.11.25	Hady Habib - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Christian Garin - Daniel Vallejo	Garin C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLL?
- Christian Garin
ATP Challenger
13.11.25	Alex Barrena - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Andrea Collarini - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Christian Garin	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Ivan Gakhov - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Timofey Skatov - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.10.25	Christian Garin - Daniel Vallejo	Garin C. retired
04.10.25	Daniel Vallejo - Christian Garin	0:2

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