Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cassis, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Daniil Glinka		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.95	1.35	Watch
	3.1	1.32	Watch
	3.1	1.4
	2.67	1.44	Watch
			Watch
	3.1	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.4)	1.36 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Daniil Glinka
31%

Jurij Rodionov
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

72.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Glinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Glinka than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Daniil Glinka - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Glinka (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Rodionov (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Glinka (1.81) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 2nd Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jurij Rodionov will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Glinka (votes: 4 - 40%). Rodionov (votes: 6 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Glinka is ranked ATP: 347. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 154.

In recent matches, Glinka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rodionov is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rodionov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rodionov is considered a favorite.

We predict that Rodionov will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Glinka
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Arthur Fery	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Daniil Glinka - Hamish Stewart	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Quentin Halys - Daniil Glinka	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Alberto Barroso Campos - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
08.08.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Daniil Glinka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWWLL
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
05.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
04.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Jurij Rodionov - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Jurij Rodionov - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

Upcoming Matches