Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Jurij Rodionov		Edas Butvilas

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.88	1.83
	2.23	1.7
	2.11	1.71	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.92	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)	1.78 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurij Rodionov
47.5%

Edas Butvilas
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jurij Rodionov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edas Butvilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Jurij Rodionov - Edas Butvilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rodionov will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Butvilas will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodionov: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jurij Rodionov will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rodionov is ranked ATP: 154. Butvilas is ranked ATP: 249.

Rodionov is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Butvilas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Jurij Rodionov - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.27%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Edas Butvilas - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Daniel Masur - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
28.08.25	Justin Engel - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.08.25	Jurij Rodionov - Timofey Skatov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW
- Edas Butvilas
ATP Challenger
29.08.25	Edas Butvilas - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Edas Butvilas - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	Matteo Gigante - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Moez Echargui - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLL

Jurij Rodionov - Edas Butvilas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide