Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday


	Daniil Ostapenkov		Buvaysar Gadamauri

	1	2
	3.4	1.27
	3.83	1.29
	3.4	1.27	Watch
	3.5	1.29
	4.63	1.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (2.72)	1.26 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Ostapenkov
25.1%

Buvaysar Gadamauri
74.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Ostapenkov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniil Ostapenkov's form might have worsened.

Buvaysar Gadamauri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buvaysar Gadamauri's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniil Ostapenkov than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buvaysar Gadamauri than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Daniil Ostapenkov - Buvaysar Gadamauri Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ostapenkov will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Gadamauri will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ostapenkov is ranked ATP: 675. Gadamauri is ranked ATP: 357.

Ostapenkov is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gadamauri has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gadamauri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gadamauri will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Ostapenkov
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Samuele Pieri	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Daniil Ostapenkov	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Maxim Shin - Daniil Ostapenkov	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Daniil Ostapenkov - Yuta Kikuchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLW
- Buvaysar Gadamauri
ATP Challenger
20.04.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Sean Cuenin	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Charles Broom	1:2 ✺
16.04.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Leo Vithoontien	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Braden Shick	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Clement Chidekh - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWWL

Daniil Ostapenkov - Buvaysar Gadamauri: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide