Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Darya Kasatkina		Nikola Bartunkova

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.43	2.85	Watch
	1.44	2.79	Watch
	1.5	2.6
	1.44	2.83	Watch
	1.44	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.31)	2.81 ↓ (3.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darya Kasatkina
66.1%

Nikola Bartunkova
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darya Kasatkina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Darya Kasatkina's form might have worsened.

Nikola Bartunkova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nikola Bartunkova's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Darya Kasatkina - Nikola Bartunkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Kasatkina will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Bartunkova will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kasatkina: 58.6% – 97%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Bartunkova (votes: 6 - 46.2%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Bartunkova (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Kasatkina (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasatkina (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Bartunkova (votes: 7 - 46.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kasatkina is ranked WTA: 48. Bartunkova is ranked WTA: 126.

Kasatkina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kasatkina is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darya Kasatkina
WTA Adelaide
13.01.26	Darya Kasatkina - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Darya Kasatkina - Maria Sakkari	2:0 ✺
WTA Brisbane
03.01.26	Darya Kasatkina - Anastasia Potapova	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
27.09.25	Sonay Kartal - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
WTA Seoul
18.09.25	Katerina Siniakova - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LWLLL
- Nikola Bartunkova
WTA Australian Open
14.01.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Whitney Osuigwe	2:0 ✺
13.01.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Tina Nadine Smith	Smith T. N. retired ✺
11.01.26	Nikola Bartunkova - Selena Janicijevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.01.26	Tatiana Prozorova - Nikola Bartunkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
16.11.25	Nikola Bartunkova - Petra Marcinko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 W?WLL

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