Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: DANDERYD (SWEDEN), HARD (INDOOR) - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 17 November 2023, Friday


	David Goffin		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.4	1.52	Watch
	2.54	1.56
	2.54	1.56
	2.38	1.53
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.5	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.43)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

David Goffin
38.4%

Brandon Nakashima
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

David Goffin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Brandon Nakashima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Goffin than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	0%	78.6%

David Goffin - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: Brandon Nakashima will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Goffin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nakashima will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Goffin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- David Goffin
ATP Challenger
15.11.23	David Goffin - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
14.11.23	David Goffin - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	David Goffin - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Jack Draper - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
04.11.23	David Goffin - Mark Lajal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Challenger
16.11.23	Denis Yevseyev - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
14.11.23	Jan Choinski - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Liam Broady - Brandon Nakashima	Canceled ✺
04.11.23	Jack Draper - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
03.11.23	Brandon Nakashima - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Basel
24.10.22	Brandon Nakashima - David Goffin	2:1

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