Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	07:15	ESPN
Belgium	11:15	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	11:15	HBO Max
Brazil	07:15	ESPN
Bulgaria	12:15	HBO Max
Canada	05:15	RDS App
Colombia	05:15	ESPN
Croatia	11:15	HBO Max
Czech Republic	11:15	HBO Max
Denmark	11:15	HBO Max
Finland	12:15	HBO Max
France	11:15	HBO Max
Hungary	11:15	HBO Max
Mexico	04:15	ESPN
Moldova	12:15	HBO Max
Montenegro	11:15	HBO Max
Netherlands	11:15	HBO Max
North Macedonia	11:15	HBO Max
Norway	11:15	HBO Max
Peru	05:15	ESPN
Poland	11:15	HBO Max
Romania	12:15	HBO Max
Serbia	11:15	HBO Max
Slovenia	11:15	HBO Max
Spain	11:15	HBO Max
Sweden	11:15	HBO Max
United Kingdom	10:15	Discovery+
Usa	05:15	ESPN USA
Venezuela	06:15	ESPN


	Marin Cilic		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.15	1.37	Watch
	3.25	1.39
	3.09	1.37	Watch
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.21	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (3)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
30.2%

Casper Ruud
69.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Casper Ruud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	0%	92.3%

Marin Cilic - Casper Ruud Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Ruud (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +4.5 Games - Cilic (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 37 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Sets - Cilic (8.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Casper Ruud will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casper Ruud will win (22 of 22 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 26 Selected Experts predict this event. Cilic (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Ruud (votes: 24 - 92.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 70. Ruud is ranked ATP: 13.

In recent matches, Ruud has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cilic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ruud is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cilic won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Denis Shapovalov - Marin Cilic	0:3 ✺
18.01.26	Daniel Altmaier - Marin Cilic	0:3 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
07.01.26	Marin Cilic - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Marin Cilic - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.11.25	Marin Cilic - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLWL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Australian Open
22.01.26	Jaume Munar - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
19.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
14.01.26	Fabian Marozsan - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
ATP United Cup
04.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Alex De Minaur - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
15.10.25	Marin Cilic - Casper Ruud	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
03.06.22	Casper Ruud - Marin Cilic	3:1
ATP Toronto
10.08.21	Casper Ruud - Marin Cilic	2:1
ATP Roma
18.09.20	Casper Ruud - Marin Cilic	2:0

Marin Cilic - Casper Ruud