Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday


	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.9	1.99
	2.00	1.81	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.1)	1.89 ↑ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
49.7%

Marin Cilic
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolai Budkov Kjaer than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nicolai Budkov Kjaer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marin Cilic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Budkov Kjaer will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Cilic will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Budkov Kjaer: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Budkov Kjaer (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Budkov Kjaer (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nicolai Budkov Kjaer will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Budkov Kjaer (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Cilic (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Budkov Kjaer is ranked ATP: 149. Cilic is ranked ATP: 94.

Budkov Kjaer is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cilic's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cilic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Challenger
10.10.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Henry Bernet - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	Patrick Kypson - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Clement Chidekh	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWW
- Marin Cilic
ATP Shanghai
03.10.25	Marin Cilic - Novak Djokovic	0:2 ✺
01.10.25	Marin Cilic - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Marin Cilic - Corentin Moutet	Canceled ✺
ATP Beijing
25.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Nishesh Basavareddy - Marin Cilic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LW?LL

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Marin Cilic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide