Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Denis Shapovalov		Filip Misolic

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.57	2.41	Watch
	1.63	2.42
	1.62	2.29	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.59	2.37	Watch
	1.57	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.43)	2.4 ↓ (2.79)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
60.4%

Filip Misolic
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denis Shapovalov's form might have worsened.

Filip Misolic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Filip Misolic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denis Shapovalov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Misolic than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Filip Misolic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.7%	0%	61.3%

Denis Shapovalov - Filip Misolic Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 12 - 38.7%). Misolic will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Misolic: 44.2% – 78.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Misolic (votes: 8 - 61.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Misolic (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Misolic (3.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Misolic (votes: 10 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 31. Misolic is ranked ATP: 153.

Shapovalov has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Misolic is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Shapovalov could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Denis Shapovalov - Pedro Martinez Portero	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.25	Denis Shapovalov - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Kei Nishikori - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
15.04.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLW?
- Filip Misolic
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Filip Misolic - Bu Yunchaokete	3:1 ✺
23.05.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Lukas Neumayer - Filip Misolic	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Filip Misolic - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Luca Van Assche - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL

Denis Shapovalov - Filip Misolic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide