Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Denis Shapovalov		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
			Watch
			Watch
	2.63	1.55
	2.23	1.65	Watch
			Watch
	2.61	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.38)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denis Shapovalov
39.1%

Jiri Lehecka
60.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Denis Shapovalov - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Users Predictions: Jiri Lehecka will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jiri Lehecka will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 24. Lehecka is ranked ATP: 19.

Recent performances by Shapovalov have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lehecka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Shapovalov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Lehecka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Lehecka will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Denis Shapovalov - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
24.09.25	Daniel Altmaier - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
28.08.25	Valentin Royer - Denis Shapovalov	1:3 ✺
26.08.25	Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLWW
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Quentin Halys - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
13.09.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
02.09.25	Jiri Lehecka - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Jiri Lehecka	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Belgrade 2
08.11.24	Jiri Lehecka - Denis Shapovalov	0:2
ATP Rotterdam
08.02.22	Jiri Lehecka - Denis Shapovalov	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Basel
30.10.26	Jerome Kym - Jiri Lehecka	✺

Denis Shapovalov - Jiri Lehecka