Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group - Qualification

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Czech-republic	CT sport
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Francis Tiafoe		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
			Watch
	2.21	1.64
	2.33	1.62
	2.17	1.64	Watch
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	1.85	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.83)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
43.6%

Jiri Lehecka
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francis Tiafoe's form might have worsened.

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jiri Lehecka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francis Tiafoe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jiri Lehecka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Francis Tiafoe - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 29. Lehecka is ranked ATP: 16.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Tiafoe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Lehecka will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tiafoe won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP US Open
29.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:3 ✺
27.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Martin Damm	3:1 ✺
25.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yoshihito Nishioka	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Tiafoe F. retired ✺
11.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWW?W
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP US Open
02.09.25	Jiri Lehecka - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
31.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Jiri Lehecka	1:3 ✺
29.08.25	Jiri Lehecka - Raphael Collignon	3:0 ✺
27.08.25	Jiri Lehecka - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Jiri Lehecka - Borna Coric	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
16.08.24	Francis Tiafoe - Jiri Lehecka	2:1
ATP Stuttgart
14.06.23	Jiri Lehecka - Francis Tiafoe	0:2
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.23	Jiri Lehecka - Francis Tiafoe	Canceled

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