Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	19:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	20:00	HBO Max
Croatia	19:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	19:00	HBO Max
Denmark	19:00	HBO Max
Finland	20:00	HBO Max
France	19:00	HBO Max
Hungary	19:00	HBO Max
Moldova	20:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	19:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	19:00	HBO Max
North Macedonia	19:00	HBO Max
Norway	19:00	HBO Max
Poland	19:00	HBO Max
Romania	20:00	HBO Max
Serbia	19:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	19:00	HBO Max
Spain	19:00	HBO Max
Sweden	19:00	HBO Max


	Jannik Sinner		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.02	21	Watch
	1.02	12
	1.01	14.5	Watch
	1.02	13.55	Watch
	1.02	13
	1.02	16.4	Watch
	1.05	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↓ (1.05)	14.49 ↑ (7.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
93.4%

Denis Shapovalov
6.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

87.4%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jannik Sinner's performance.

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denis Shapovalov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

Jannik Sinner - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Sets - Shapovalov (2.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shapovalov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 29.

Sinner is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Shapovalov has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sinner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sinner is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sinner won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Jannik Sinner - the odds 1.05 are the expected chance of winning is 87.41%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexei Popyrin	3:0 ✺
26.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Vit Kopriva	3:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Sinner J. retired ✺
16.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WW?WW
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Valentin Royer - Denis Shapovalov	1:3 ✺
26.08.25	Marton Fucsovics - Denis Shapovalov	0:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
10.08.25	Luca Nardi - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Denis Shapovalov - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
19.07.25	Aleksandar Kovacevic - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
08.02.21	Denis Shapovalov - Jannik Sinner	3:2

Jannik Sinner - Denis Shapovalov