Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villena, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Diego Dedura-Palomero		Jack Pinnington Jones

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.20	1.60
	2.2	1.6
	2.17	1.61	Watch
	2.19	1.69
	2.16	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.13)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diego Dedura-Palomero
42.2%

Jack Pinnington Jones
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diego Dedura-Palomero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Jack Pinnington Jones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diego Dedura-Palomero than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Pinnington Jones than the current prediction. (-5%)

Diego Dedura Palomero - Jack Pinnington Jones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dedura-Palomero is ranked ATP: 190., and Pinnington Jones is ranked ATP: 205..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Pinnington Jones could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Pinnington Jones holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Diego Dedura-Palomero - the odds 2.13 are the expected chance of winning is 43.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Jack Pinnington Jones - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 56.8%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diego Dedura-Palomero
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Oliver Tarvet	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Vadym Ursu	2:1 ✺
21.09.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
18.09.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Thiago Monteiro	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Kilian Feldbausch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLLW
- Jack Pinnington Jones
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Dino Prizmic - Jack Pinnington Jones	Canceled ✺
28.09.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
04.09.26	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Jack Pinnington Jones	Pinnington Jones J. Retired ✺
03.09.26	Michele Ribecai - Jack Pinnington Jones	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Moez Echargui - Jack Pinnington Jones	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?L?WW

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