Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Umag, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 July 2025, Thursday


	Dino Prizmic		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.44	1.54	Watch
	2.57	1.57
	2.53	1.52	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.47	1.55	Watch
	2.22	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.22)	1.57 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dino Prizmic
39.4%

Luciano Darderi
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

59.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dino Prizmic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dino Prizmic than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.1%	0%	83.9%

Dino Prizmic - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Darderi (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luciano Darderi will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 16 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Prizmic is ranked ATP: 143. Darderi is ranked ATP: 46.

Prizmic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Darderi is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Darderi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Darderi might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Darderi will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Darderi - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 57.22%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dino Prizmic
ATP Umag
23.07.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Dino Prizmic	1:2 ✺
22.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Elmer Moller	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.07.25	Lukas Klein - Dino Prizmic	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:1 ✺
18.07.25	Dino Prizmic - Justin Engel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Umag
23.07.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
20.07.25	Luciano Darderi - Jesper De Jong	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi	1:2 ✺
18.07.25	Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Elias Ymer - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWW

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