Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BASEL (SWITZERLAND), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 26 October 2023, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Dominic Stephan Stricker		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.83	1.49
	2.83	1.49
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.83	1.43	Watch
	2.8	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (3.1)	1.46 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dominic Stephan Stricker
34.4%

Casper Ruud
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dominic Stephan Stricker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dominic Stephan Stricker than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dominic Stephan Stricker that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casper Ruud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Dominic Stephan Stricker - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: Casper Ruud will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stricker is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ruud is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ruud could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ruud will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dominic Stephan Stricker
ATP Basel
24.10.23	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
18.10.23	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Botic Van De Zandschulp	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.23	Luca Nardi - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
03.10.23	Matteo Martineau - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
16.09.23	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Basel
25.10.23	Alexander Bublik - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
18.10.23	Marcos Giron - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
17.10.23	Yosuke Watanuki - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
10.10.23	Casper Ruud - Fabian Marozsan	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	Casper Ruud - Christopher Eubanks	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW

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