Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Learner Tien		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.20
	1.61	2.30	Watch
	1.6	2.33	Watch
	1.65	2.30
	1.59	2.40	Watch
	1.55	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.62)	2.33 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Learner Tien
59.2%

Casper Ruud
40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Learner Tien have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Casper Ruud have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Learner Tien - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tien (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tien is ranked ATP: 16., and Ruud is ranked ATP: 24..

Tien has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Ruud shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Learner Tien - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 59.19%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Learner Tien - Zachary Svajda	2:0 ✺
ATP Beijing
01.10.26	Learner Tien - Hubert Hurkacz	1:2 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
27.09.26	Alexander Zverev - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Flavio Cobolli - Learner Tien	1:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
19.09.26	Jiri Lehecka - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLWL
- Casper Ruud
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Casper Ruud	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
30.09.26	Luciano Darderi - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
25.09.26	Casper Ruud - Francisco Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
19.09.26	Casper Ruud - Jie Cui	Canceled ✺
18.09.26	Casper Ruud - Rigele Te	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLW?W

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Learner Tien
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Learner Tien	✺

Learner Tien - Casper Ruud