Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Beijing 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	10:55	Max Sport 1
Germany	09:55	Sky Sport Tennis
Slovakia	09:55	Voyo
United Kingdom	08:55	Sky Sports Tennis


	Donna Vekic		Cristina Bucsa

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.98	Watch
	1.84	2.06
	1.77	2.00	Watch
	1.81	2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.49)	1.99 ↓ (2.37)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Donna Vekic
52.1%

Cristina Bucsa
47.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Donna Vekic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Donna Vekic's form might have worsened.

Cristina Bucsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cristina Bucsa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Donna Vekic than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Donna Vekic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cristina Bucsa than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cristina Bucsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	0%	89.5%

Donna Vekic - Cristina Bucsa Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Vekic will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Bucsa will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucsa: 75.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cristina Bucsa will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vekic is ranked WTA: 69. Bucsa is ranked WTA: 67.

Vekic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bucsa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vekic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vekic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Donna Vekic
WTA US Open
28.08.25	Donna Vekic - Cori Gauff	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Donna Vekic - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:1 ✺
WTA Monterrey
20.08.25	Donna Vekic - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
18.08.25	Maria Sakkari - Donna Vekic	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
07.08.25	Sorana Cirstea - Donna Vekic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL
- Cristina Bucsa
WTA Beijing
22.09.25	Cristina Bucsa - Maria Lourdes Carle	2:0 ✺
22.09.25	Cristina Bucsa - Clervie Ngounoue	2:0 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Cristina Bucsa	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Elise Mertens - Cristina Bucsa	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Cristina Bucsa - Alexandra Eala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wimbledon
02.07.25	Cristina Bucsa - Donna Vekic	2:0
WTA Nottingham
12.06.23	Cristina Bucsa - Donna Vekic	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cristina Bucsa
WTA Tokyo
28.10.26	Cristina Bucsa - Maya Joint	✺

Donna Vekic - Cristina Bucsa