Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: KOBE (JAPAN), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Duje Ajdukovic		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.45	1.48
	2.4	1.52
	2.5	1.57
	2.5	1.58
	2.25	1.57
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.38	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.18)	1.53 ↓ (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duje Ajdukovic
38.2%

Sho Shimabukuro
61.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duje Ajdukovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Duje Ajdukovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	0%	84.6%

Duje Ajdukovic - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: Sho Shimabukuro will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Ajdukovic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Shimabukuro will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Shimabukuro to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajdukovic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
17.11.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
16.11.23	Jurij Rodionov - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
15.11.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
13.11.23	Duje Ajdukovic - Menelaos Efstathiou	2:0 ✺
10.11.23	Duje Ajdukovic - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Challenger
17.11.23	Luca Nardi - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
16.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
15.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Seong Chan Hong	2:0 ✺
13.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.11.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2

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