Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Dusan Lajovic		Alexander Bublik

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.53	2.33	Watch
	1.6	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.31	Watch
	1.53	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.5)	2.29 ↓ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
59.3%

Alexander Bublik
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dusan Lajovic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexander Bublik than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexander Bublik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Dusan Lajovic - Alexander Bublik Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Bublik will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bublik: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Bublik will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajovic is ranked ATP: 109. Bublik is ranked ATP: 77.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Bublik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lajovic will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lajovic won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Bucharest
01.04.25	Dusan Lajovic - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
28.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Dusan Lajovic - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWW
- Alexander Bublik
ATP Miami
21.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
19.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Nuno Borges - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Wimbledon
29.06.22	Alexander Bublik - Dusan Lajovic	3:0
ATP Australian Open
09.02.21	Alexander Bublik - Dusan Lajovic	1:3

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