Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Phoenix (USA), hard - Final

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Alexander Bublik		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.28	Watch
	3.25	1.29	Watch
	3.21	1.32	Watch
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.39	1.29	Watch
	3.25	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↓ (3.42)	1.29 ↑ (1.28)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexander Bublik
27.7%

Joao Fonseca
72.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexander Bublik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Alexander Bublik - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bublik will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Fonseca will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bublik is ranked ATP: 82. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 80.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

In this match Fonseca is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexander Bublik
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Nuno Borges - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
14.03.25	Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
13.03.25	Rinky Hijikata - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
12.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Yosuke Watanuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Challenger
15.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Hugo Gaston - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
13.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
12.03.25	Pavel Kotov - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.25	Jack Draper - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL

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