Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 15 April 2026, Wednesday


	Max Houkes		Dusan Lajovic

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.09	1.41
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.99	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↓ (3.13)	1.36 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Houkes
30.8%

Dusan Lajovic
69.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

70.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

65.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Max Houkes - Dusan Lajovic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Houkes is ranked ATP: 257. Lajovic is ranked ATP: 134.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Houkes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lajovic is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Max Houkes - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Remy Bertola - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Max Houkes	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Max Houkes - Max Schoenhaus	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Max Houkes - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WL?LW
- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Challenger
14.04.26	Remy Bertola - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Dusan Lajovic - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Marrakech
31.03.26	Rafael Jodar - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	Dusan Lajovic - Lloyd Harris	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Dusan Lajovic - Hugo Grenier	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLW?

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