Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MADRID (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 1 May 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Dusan Lajovic		Jan-Lennard Struff

	1	2
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.2
	1.7	2.16
	1.67	2.22
	1.73	2.25
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.69	2.17	Watch
	1.66	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.61)	2.22 ↓ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dusan Lajovic
57%

Jan-Lennard Struff
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dusan Lajovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Jan-Lennard Struff has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dusan Lajovic than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.4%	0%	51.6%

Dusan Lajovic - Jan Lennard Struff Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Lajovic will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). Struff will win (votes: 16 - 51.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Struff: 34% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lajovic in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Struff is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Struff could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lajovic will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Lajovic to win the game is with odds 1.6.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lajovic won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dusan Lajovic
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Dusan Lajovic	1:2 ✺
27.04.23	Jason Kubler - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Banja Luka
23.04.23	Dusan Lajovic - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Dusan Lajovic - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
21.04.23	Novak Djokovic - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.6 WWWWW
- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Madrid
29.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Ben Shelton	2:1 ✺
27.04.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Jan-Lennard Struff	0:2 ✺
25.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Aslan Karatsev	0:2 ✺
24.04.23	Jan-Lennard Struff - Luca Nardi	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
18.04.23	Alexander Ritschard - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Sofia
28.09.22	Jan-Lennard Struff - Dusan Lajovic	2:1
ATP Cup
04.02.21	Dusan Lajovic - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2
ATP Metz
17.09.14	Dusan Lajovic - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:2

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