Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Beijing, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Ekaterina Alexandrova		Aliaksandra Sasnovich

	1	2
	1.62	2.30	Watch
	1.65	2.20
	1.60	2.33	Watch
	1.6	2.24	Watch
	1.65	2.30
	1.63	2.28	Watch
	1.60	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.57)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ekaterina Alexandrova
58.3%

Aliaksandra Sasnovich
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ekaterina Alexandrova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Aliaksandra Sasnovich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ekaterina Alexandrova than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaksandra Sasnovich than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alexandrova (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Ekaterina Alexandrova will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alexandrova is ranked WTA: 28., and Sasnovich is ranked WTA: 121..

Alexandrova has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Sasnovich shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Alexandrova could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Alexandrova holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Alexandrova has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:2 (averaging 1.6:0.4 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Ekaterina Alexandrova - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 59.43%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Aliaksandra Sasnovich - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 40.57%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ekaterina Alexandrova
WTA US Open
04.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Kimberly Birrell - Ekaterina Alexandrova	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	McCartney Kessler - Ekaterina Alexandrova	0:2 ✺
WTA Monterrey
26.08.26	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Clara Tauson	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
18.08.26	Sara Bejlek - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWWLL
- Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Beijing
30.09.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Junhan Zhang	2:0 ✺
WTA Singapore
23.09.26	Mirra Andreeva - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Darya Kasatkina - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Linz
30.01.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0
WTA Roma
09.05.24	Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0
WTA Cleveland
23.08.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0
WTA Hertogenbosch
17.06.23	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0
ATP Challenger
22.12.19	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Aliaksandra Sasnovich	2:0

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