Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday


	Elena Rybakina		Jessica Pegula

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.46	2.93
	1.45	2.86	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.42	2.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.61)	2.84 ↑ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Elena Rybakina
66.4%

Jessica Pegula
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elena Rybakina's performance.

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pegula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Elena Rybakina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pegula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.3%	0%	10.7%

Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Rybakina (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Rybakina (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Elena Rybakina will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Elena Rybakina will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Pegula (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Rybakina is ranked WTA: 2. Pegula is ranked WTA: 5.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 4.

Rybakina is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pegula has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rybakina could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Rybakina
WTA Miami
23.03.26	Elena Rybakina - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Elena Rybakina - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Elena Rybakina - Yulia Putintseva	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
15.03.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Elena Rybakina - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW
- Jessica Pegula
WTA Miami
23.03.26	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Francesca Jones - Jessica Pegula	Jones F. retired ✺
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
11.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Belinda Bencic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
12.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	0:2
WTA Australian Open
29.01.26	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	0:2
WTA Finals
07.11.25	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	1:2
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
18.09.25	Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula	2:0
WTA Finals
29.10.23	Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula	0:2
WTA Miami
30.03.23	Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula	2:0
WTA Guadalajara 2
19.10.22	Jessica Pegula - Elena Rybakina	2:1

Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide