Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Elena Rybakina		Marketa Vondrousova

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.36	3.04	Watch
	1.45	2.88
	1.78	2.04	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.43	3.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.53)	2.86 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elena Rybakina
66.3%

Marketa Vondrousova
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elena Rybakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elena Rybakina's performance.

Marketa Vondrousova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marketa Vondrousova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elena Rybakina than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marketa Vondrousova than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60.9%	0%	39.1%

Elena Rybakina - Marketa Vondrousova Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Rybakina will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). Vondrousova will win (votes: 9 - 39.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rybakina: 41% – 80.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Vondrousova (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Rybakina (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Rybakina (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Vondrousova (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rybakina is ranked WTA: 10. Vondrousova is ranked WTA: 60.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Rybakina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Rybakina is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Rybakina won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elena Rybakina
WTA US Open
29.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Emma Raducanu	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Tereza Valentova	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Julieta Pareja	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.25	Elena Rybakina - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
15.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLW
- Marketa Vondrousova
WTA US Open
29.08.25	Marketa Vondrousova - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	McCartney Kessler - Marketa Vondrousova	0:2 ✺
24.08.25	Oksana Selekhmeteva - Marketa Vondrousova	0:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
09.08.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Marketa Vondrousova	2:0 ✺
07.08.25	Marketa Vondrousova - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
15.05.23	Marketa Vondrousova - Elena Rybakina	0:2
WTA Doha
21.02.22	Elena Rybakina - Marketa Vondrousova	Canceled
WTA Moscow
19.10.21	Elena Rybakina - Marketa Vondrousova	0:2

Elena Rybakina - Marketa Vondrousova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide