Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight


	Elias Ymer		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	4.3	1.21
	4.09	1.28
	4.12	1.21	Watch
	4.01	1.25	Watch
	4.3	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.05 ↓ (4.12)	1.24 ↑ (1.21)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elias Ymer
23.4%

Denis Shapovalov
76.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

77.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elias Ymer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Elias Ymer - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ymer will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ymer: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Shapovalov (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Ymer (2.00) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Ymer (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Ymer (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Shapovalov (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ymer is ranked ATP: 243. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 23.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Ymer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Shapovalov is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elias Ymer
ATP Stockholm
16.10.25	Jacob Fearnley - Elias Ymer	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Elias Ymer - Mikael Ymer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Elias Ymer - Elmer Moller	Ymer E. retired ✺
23.09.25	Guy Den Ouden - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
15.09.25	Elias Ymer - Sandro Kopp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WW?LL
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Stockholm
15.10.25	Leo Borg - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Denis Shapovalov - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Denis Shapovalov - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
24.09.25	Daniel Altmaier - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
30.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Denis Shapovalov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLWLL

Elias Ymer - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide