Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zug, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Facundo Diaz Acosta		Jakub Paul

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.26	3.5	Watch
	1.23	3.75	Watch
	1.26	4.09
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.25	3.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.36)	3.84 ↑ (3.08)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Facundo Diaz Acosta
75.6%

Jakub Paul
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.4%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Facundo Diaz Acosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Facundo Diaz Acosta's performance.

Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jakub Paul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Diaz Acosta than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Facundo Diaz Acosta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jakub Paul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Jakub Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Diaz Acosta will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Paul will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5 Games - Paul (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paul (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Diaz Acosta is ranked ATP: 186. Paul is ranked ATP: 350.

Now, both players are in good form.

Diaz Acosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Diaz Acosta is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Challenger
24.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Marat Sharipov	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
11.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Stefano Travaglia	2:0 ✺
10.07.25	Lukas Klein - Facundo Diaz Acosta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
24.07.25	Jakub Paul - Calvin Hemery	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Jakub Paul - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Jakub Paul - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Jakub Paul - Jeffrey Von Der Schulenburg	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Andrea Collarini - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWL

Facundo Diaz Acosta - Jakub Paul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide