Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	15:40	Max
Croatia	14:40	Max
Czech Republic	14:40	Max
Denmark	14:40	Max
Finland	15:40	Max
France	14:40	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	14:40	Max
Norway	14:40	MAX
Poland	14:40	Max
Romania	15:40	Max
Serbia	14:40	Max
Slovenia	14:40	Max
Sweden	14:40	Max
Usa	08:40	Max


	Jacob Fearnley		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.54
	1.52	2.55
	1.5	2.79
	1.52	2.54	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.49	2.64	Watch
	1.52	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.6)	2.59 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
63.2%

Stanislas Wawrinka
36.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jacob Fearnley - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games, 1st Set - Wawrinka (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Wawrinka (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacob Fearnley will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Wawrinka (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 54. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 139.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Wawrinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fearnley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Stanislas Wawrinka - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Geneva
21.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Dusan Lajovic - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Borna Coric	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Borna Gojo	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWW

Jacob Fearnley - Stanislas Wawrinka