Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max
Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
Serbia	Max
Slovenia	Max
Sweden	Max
Usa	Max


	Jacob Fearnley		Stanislas Wawrinka

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.54
	1.52	2.55
	1.5	2.79
	1.52	2.54	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.49	2.64	Watch
	1.52	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.6)	2.59 ↑ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
63.2%

Stanislas Wawrinka
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.3%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Stanislas Wawrinka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jacob Fearnley - Stanislas Wawrinka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games, 1st Set - Wawrinka (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Wawrinka (2.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacob Fearnley will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Wawrinka (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 54. Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 139.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Wawrinka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fearnley is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Stanislas Wawrinka - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.67%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Geneva
21.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Dusan Lajovic - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL
- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
04.05.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Borna Coric	1:2 ✺
03.05.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Borna Gojo	2:0 ✺
02.05.25	Stanislas Wawrinka - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
01.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWW

Jacob Fearnley - Stanislas Wawrinka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide