Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 May 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Sport
France	beIN Sports
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Elina Svitolina		Aryna Sabalenka

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3	1.4	Watch
	3.11	1.42
	3.26	1.39
	3.1	1.36
	3	1.4	Watch
	3	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.94)	1.39 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elina Svitolina
31.2%

Aryna Sabalenka
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elina Svitolina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Aryna Sabalenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elina Svitolina than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aryna Sabalenka than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.2%	0%	78.8%

Elina Svitolina - Aryna Sabalenka Predictions

Users Predictions: Aryna Sabalenka will win (26 of 33 users predict this - 78.79%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.84% – 92.74%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Svitolina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sabalenka is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sabalenka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sabalenka is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sabalenka to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Svitolina won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elina Svitolina
WTA Roma
12.05.24	Elina Svitolina - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
10.05.24	Elina Svitolina - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
25.04.24	Sara Sorribes Tormo - Elina Svitolina	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
13.04.24	Elina Svitolina - Ana Bogdan	1:2 ✺
12.04.24	Elina Svitolina - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW
- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Roma
12.05.24	Dayana Yastremska - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
10.05.24	Katie Volynets - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
04.05.24	Iga Swiatek - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1 ✺
02.05.24	Elena Rybakina - Aryna Sabalenka	1:2 ✺
01.05.24	Mirra Andreeva - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
06.06.23	Elina Svitolina - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2
WTA Strasbourg
25.09.20	Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina	1:2
WTA Wuhan
24.09.18	Aryna Sabalenka - Elina Svitolina	2:1

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