Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bratislava 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Jaime Faria		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.95	1.35
	6.48	1.09	Watch
	2.64	1.45	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (2.62)	1.33 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
27.1%

Mackenzie McDonald
72.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jaime Faria's form might have worsened.

Mackenzie McDonald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mackenzie McDonald's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jaime Faria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mackenzie McDonald, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jaime Faria - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 127. McDonald is ranked ATP: 110.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Faria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

McDonald is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mackenzie McDonald - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 64.49%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Challenger
21.10.25	Jaime Faria - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Jaime Faria - Edas Butvilas	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Jaime Faria - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
ATP Brussels
12.10.25	Jaime Faria - Tibo Colson	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.10.25	Zdenek Kolar - Jaime Faria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Vienna
19.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Aleksandar Kovacevic	1:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
15.10.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW

Jaime Faria - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide